Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.042433 0.046077 0.049748 0.053717 0.057881 0.062113 0.066734
2025-09-28 0.037735 0.043217 0.048917 0.055264 0.062108 0.069243 0.077222
2025-10-05 0.032595 0.039272 0.046425 0.054601 0.063633 0.073256 0.084231
2025-10-12 0.029148 0.036777 0.045167 0.054980 0.066044 0.078042 0.091947
2025-10-19 0.026581 0.034988 0.044459 0.055762 0.068730 0.083005 0.099767
2025-10-26 0.024401 0.033430 0.043832 0.056474 0.071208 0.087640 0.107155
2025-11-02 0.021156 0.030346 0.041204 0.054668 0.070627 0.088673 0.110362
2025-11-09 0.019007 0.028429 0.039814 0.054184 0.071463 0.091233 0.115231
2025-11-16 0.017220 0.026826 0.038689 0.053912 0.072462 0.093913 0.120183
2025-11-23 0.016472 0.026499 0.039092 0.055459 0.075603 0.099081 0.128022
2025-11-30 0.015650 0.026007 0.039236 0.056645 0.078279 0.103688 0.135202
2025-12-07 0.014712 0.025291 0.039040 0.057361 0.080352 0.107557 0.141506
2025-12-14 0.013598 0.024288 0.038453 0.057592 0.081863 0.110814 0.147178
2025-12-21 0.013004 0.023981 0.038761 0.058954 0.084777 0.115777 0.154913
2025-12-28 0.011661 0.022502 0.037429 0.058138 0.084925 0.117357 0.158581
2026-01-04 0.010833 0.021725 0.037004 0.058471 0.086495 0.120658 0.164316
2026-01-11 0.010223 0.021232 0.036938 0.059252 0.088618 0.124628 0.170862
2026-01-18 0.009641 0.020742 0.036847 0.059977 0.090655 0.128489 0.177279
2026-01-25 0.008328 0.018987 0.034876 0.058093 0.089263 0.128043 0.178396
2026-02-01 0.007519 0.017990 0.033946 0.057586 0.089628 0.129767 0.182157
2026-02-08 0.006835 0.017149 0.033203 0.057302 0.090258 0.131806 0.186298
2026-02-15 0.006677 0.017213 0.033811 0.058908 0.093398 0.137031 0.194408
2026-02-22 0.006437 0.017112 0.034158 0.060139 0.096040 0.141629 0.201751